An analysis from the CryoSat-2 probe, launched two years ago as a purpose-built satellite for studying the thickness of Arctic ice, suggests that 900 cubic kilometres of ice have disappeared every year since 2004.
“Very soon we may experience the iconic moment when, one day in the summer, we look at satellite images and see no sea ice coverage in the Arctic, just open water,” Dr. Seymour Laxon, with London’s Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling, told The Guardian newspaper.
The data would mean that the thinning of Arctic ice is progressing 50 per cent faster than many polar scientists had previously predicted, suggesting that global warming and rising greenhouse gases could be contributing factors.
The loss of the Arctic’s white ice caps even for a short period could have a profound rippling effect on ocean temperatures. The polar ice caps themselves have a surface that is so bright that 80 per cent of the sunlight it receives is reflected back into space, instead of being absorbed by the Earth.
The absence of the ice caps would likely lead to rising ocean temperatures and release more of the greenhouse gas methane into the atmosphere, further accelerating global warming and rising sea levels.
Scientists also noted that the melting of sea ice cannot always be attributed to man-made climate change. For example, NASA last month pointed out a “freak event” in which nearly all of Greenland’s massive ice sheet suddenly began melting. NASA stressed that the massive melt occurs roughly once every 150 years, and that records showed the last time it happened was in 1889.